Archive for August, 2009

Source of new jobs: High Impact Firms

Monday, August 31st, 2009


By Dean Whittaker

In the 1980s, David Birch found that firms with rapid revenue growth (Gazelles) were responsible for creating most new jobs. In an SBA funded 2008 study, “High-Impact Firms: Gazelles Revisited” (http://www.sba.gov/advo/research/rs328tot.pdf), Corporate Reach Board, LLC expanded on Birch’s work by adding an employment growth metric and investigating firms’ business lifecycles before, during, and after their four-year high growth period.

The study defines a “high-impact firm” as an enterprise with sales that double over the most recent four-year period and an employment growth qualifier of two or more over the same period. The employment growth qualifier equals the product of the absolute change in employment by the percentage change.

Some of their findings were counter to commonly held beliefs. High-impact firms are old (average age is 25 years), rare (represent only about 2 to 3 percent of all companies), and they account for almost all private sector employment and revenue growth. Another surprising finding is that high-impact firms exist in almost all industries, not just the high-tech industries, and they can be found in all geographic areas. The report goes on to say that most job losses occur in “low-impact” companies with more than 500 employees. Less than 3% of the high-impact firms were started in the prior four-year period, and only 3% of the firms died in the following four-year period.

The methodology employed in the study limits the ability to evaluate the impact of small start-up companies (many of which are under five years of age). However, it does allow an understanding of high-impact firms. Using this approach, Whittaker Associates was able to identify the high-impact firms within a potential client’s region and found 137 firms that had created over 11,000 jobs from 2007-2009 out of a total of 45,000 companies.

The stages of the corporate lifecycle are explained by the Adizes Institute. Dr. Adize has developed a web-based survey to help businesses conduct a self-assessment of the stage of their business lifecycle: http://www.adizes.com/corporate_lifecycle.html. Dr. Adize describes the cyclical nature of a growing business as it moves through repetitive patterns of behavior. The business is faced with new challenges at each stage, requiring new skills, and perhaps, even new leadership to continue its growth.

What is the implication of this recent study to development organizations? For one, it would indicate that it is important to understand who the high-impact firms within the region are, and what stage of their business lifecycle are they in. It also suggests that local development organizations would benefit from cultivating these high-impact firms as a priority in their overall economic development strategy.

Think Big, Christopher Columbus Big

Monday, August 31st, 2009

By Todd Smithee

When Columbus sailed west to go east, he had the right idea. The problem was, he did not anticipate the actual size of the world. The result: Columbus “discovered” America, and the rest is what we call history. Columbus was bold and took some educated risks, but look at the payoff. In today’s business environment, bold steps need to be taken in order to thrive.

First, explore the possibility of expanding your client base beyond your own backyard. As a resident of Michigan, a state which has been in a recession for years, this is a lesson we learned early on. While Conrin is no Fortune 500 company, we do not have a single client that is dependent on Michigan as its sole source of clients. All of our customers are national or global in scope, with many of our clients being based in other states. For years we have been able to win business nationwide, enabling Conrin to continue to grow as Michigan suffered a one state recession. The use of technology was key in allowing us to cost effectively pursue business thousands of miles away. It is now time to take this concept to the next step.

For decades the U.S. dollar has been the world’s reserve currency. Transactions and important commodities such as oil have been priced in dollars because of the stability and relative safety of our currency. That is now beginning to change. We are beginning to hear rumblings from a number of major nations including Russia, China, and Brazil about utilizing something other than the U.S. dollar as the world’s reserve currency. Sure, some of the reasons are strictly political, but the viability of the U.S. dollar also raises some concern.

Does this mean the end of the American dream? Absolutely not! What it does mean is that, at least in the short-term, it could very well be in your interest to diversify your customer base beyond our own shores. There are countries such as India that are continuing to grow. Think of the products of foreign companies that we consume in the U.S. There is no reason you should not at least be exploring the opportunity to market your goods or services globally. Today’s Internet, pay-per-click (PPC) and search engine optimization (SEO) marketing, and web meetings make it very possible to sell anywhere, anytime (your only additional expense might be an increased coffee bill for those late night meetings). Think about what kind of shape your sales forecast would be in if you had clients in three or four parts of the world. Like the stock market, some of those markets will be up and some will be off. Like a stock portfolio, diversification will provide you with smoother, more predictable long-term growth patterns and help insulate your company against local/national economic downturns.

You do not need to invest in expensive travel and costly consultants to get started. Simple Google research, combined with PPC and SEO marketing will provide you with an idea of what markets might be productive. Web conferencing will allow you to get in front of your prospects to judge potential demand. All of this can be accomplished before involving the dreaded “hourly” folks ““ accountants and lawyers. These professionals can be brought in after you have identified a promising opportunity.

There is no time like the present to get started. Diversifying out of Michigan has helped Conrin grow as our home state faltered. We plan to use global diversification to help us grow through the national recession as well.

Green Economy: Occupational Outlook

Monday, August 31st, 2009

By Jami Miedema


Recently, I’ve been researching and writing about clean energy and the green economy. I came across a publication, Job Opportunities for the Green Economy, from the Center for American Progress (CAP), which defines a green economy that’s based on using energy efficiently, reducing pollution emissions, and using renewable sources. Their report focuses on six strategies for advancing the green economy: building retrofitting; mass transit; energy efficient autos; wind power; solar power; and biomass fuels. Within these areas, they outline jobs that will continue to grow as investments in the green economy expand. Taken from CAP’s report, here’s a brief look at the opportunities they anticipate in each area:

Building retrofitting: workers who will advance the green economy by equipping buildings with new, energy efficient technologies

Electricians, Heating/Air Conditioning Installers, Carpenters, Construction Equipment Operators, Roofers, Insulation Workers, Carpenter Helpers, Industrial Truck Drivers, Construction Managers, Building Inspectors

Mass transit: workers who will advance the green economy by decreasing our dependency on pollution-emitting private transportation

Civil Engineers, Rail Track Layers, Electricians, Welders, Metal Fabricators, Engine Assemblers, Production Helpers, Bus Drivers, First-Line Transportation Supervisors, Dispatchers

Energy efficient autos: workers who will advance the green economy by creating vehicles that use energy more efficiently

Computer Software Engineers, Electrical Engineers, Engineering Technicians, Welders, Transportation Equipment Painters, Metal Fabricators, Computer-Controlled Machine Operators, Engine Assemblers, Production Helpers, Operations Managers

Wind power: workers who will advance the green economy by creating clean energy

Environmental Engineers, Iron and Steel Workers, Millwrights, Sheet Metal Workers, Machinists, Electrical Equipment Assemblers, Construction Equipment Operators, Industrial Truck Drivers, Industrial Production Managers, First-Line Production Supervisors

Solar power: workers who will advance the green economy by decreasing our dependence on pollution-emitting sources

Electrical Engineers, Electricians, Industrial Machinery Mechanics, Welders, Metal Fabricators, Electrical Equipment Assemblers, Construction Equipment Operators, Installation Helpers, Laborers, Construction Managers

Biomass fuels: workers who will advance the green economy by using renewable sources of energy

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Chemical Engineers, Chemists, Chemical Equipment Operators, Chemical Technicians, Mixing and Blending Machine Operators, Agricultural Workers, Industrial Truck Drivers, Farm Product Purchasers, Agricultural and Forestry Supervisors, Agricultural Inspectors

As we can see, there is some overlap among the areas, but opportunity exists in many fields of work in which people are already employed. For example, a manufacturer of auto parts may be able to retool to manufacture wind turbine components for future alternative energy demand. Not only does this mean new job openings, but greater job security for workers already employed in these occupations. The jobs of today are the jobs of tomorrow. It is now a matter of enhancing those skill sets as we transition into the new, green economy.

To read this report and view more reports on other prominent issues, visit the Center for American Progress at www.americanprogress.org.

Source: Center for American Progress (2008). Job Opportunities for the Green Economy.

http://www.americanprogress.org/issues/2008/06/pdf/green_jobs.pdf

Smart-Grid Technologies: Not so ‘dumb’ network

Monday, August 31st, 2009

By Vidhan Rana

With expected gross revenue of $25 billion in 2009, smart-grid systems manufacturers and solution providers are among the fastest growing companies in the GreenTech world. A recent study conducted by Deloitte estimated that smart-grid technology could potentially increase the efficiency of electricity transmission from 33 percent that is currently achieved by using legacy electricity grids to about 60 percent. Deploying smart-grid technologies could reduce our electricity consumption by about 30% and reduce the level of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere.

Broadly speaking, a smart-grid system adds computer intelligence and networking to what is otherwise a ‘dumb’ network. According to the Smart Grid Systems Report, published by the U.S. Department of Energy in July 2009, a smart-grid system is defined as a system that uses digital technology to improve reliability, security, and efficiency (both economic and energy) of the electric system from large generation, through the delivery systems to electricity consumers and a growing number of distributed-generation and storage resources.

Smart-grid technologies could be used to help a power generation company run cleaner power sources such as nuclear, hydro, solar or wind, at full output, 24-hours a day, while reducing the need to provide more carbon emitting gas, coal, or oil plants in a surge (usually for only a couple of hours per day), to meet peak demand. By reducing the variability in power, smart-grid systems can diminish the need for new power plants.

The increase in interest and the demand of electric vehicles, including plug-in hybrids, will not only lead to major changes in the nature of the transportation industry, but it will also have a tremendous impact on the way we use electricity. Today only 0.02% of light-duty vehicles are grid-connected, but forecasts estimate ultimate penetration of this market at 8-16%, with some aggressive estimates at 37%, by 2020. To support such a massive rise in demand for electricity, a bi-directional informational flow supported by a smart grid system is necessary.

According to the Department of Energy study, only 4.7% of all electric meters are smart meters. Approximately 52 million more meters are projected to be installed by 2012. As a result, companies with new smart-grid concepts and technologies are receiving significant injections of capital. Venture-capital funding of startups in the sector grew from $58.4 million in 2002 to $194.1 million in 2007, yielding an average annual rate increase of 27%.

The Deloitte study estimates that smart grid companies may generate revenues over $25 billion in 2009, representing the biggest and fastest growing sector in GreenTech. In late 2008, during the depth of the recession in the United States, smart-grid solutions providers were enjoying 50% revenue growth and an 80% increase in bookings.

Whittaker Associates identified 41 companies directly involved in smart-grid business with revenues totaling $5.6 billion in 2008. Like many other GreenTech sectors, California has the highest concentration of smart-grid businesses. However, the number of companies and their sizes are growing in states like Washington, Georgia, New Jersey, and Pennsylvania. The map below shows the location of these 41 companies in the United States.

The public sector is also slowly catching up with the private sector in the area of smart-grid investment. In April 2009, the National Institute of Standards and Technology, a measurement standards laboratory under the U.S. Department of Commerce, announced a three phase plan to expedite the development of key standards for a Smart Grid, a nationwide network that uses information technology to deliver electricity efficiently, reliably, and securely. Under the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act, the federal government plans to distribute more than $3.3 billion in smart-grid technology development grants and an additional $615 million for smart-grid storage, monitoring, and technology viability.

For further information please refer to these sources:

U.S. Department of Energy,”Smart Grid Systems Report”, July 2009
http://www.oe.energy.gov/DocumentsandMedia/SGSRMain_090707_lowres.pdf

Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Global Technology, Media & Telecommunications Industry Group,”Technology Predictions: TMT Trends 2009″, December 2008
http://www.deloitte.co.uk/TMTpredictions/attachments/TMT-Predictions-technology.pdf