Archive for 2003

The Economic Development Sea Change

Tuesday, December 30th, 2003

By Dean Whittaker

Let’s take a ride into the future, a future in which the economic geography has undergone  a sea change. Manufacturing is no longer the Holy Grail of economic development. It is a world where demographically driven shortages of talent have put a premium on those places that have had the foresight to develop and cultivate this scarce resource. “Getting the right people on the bus” has become paramount to business. Instead of marketing the place, the challenge becomes to maximize the return on the investment in the region’s limited intellectual capital. In this new world, organizations no longer solicit business locations.  Instead, economic development professionals broker pools of highly skilled talent to global organizations that compete for this scare resource.  It is a world in which talent has become the currency of innovation and entrepreneurship.  It is a world in which everything is outsourced, virtual, and service-based.  It is a world of temporary networks of teams of talent that are assembled, tasked, and disassembled. Land, labor and capital have been eclipsed by knowledge, innovation, and communication as the key factors of production.

How would you attract businesses in such a world?   For starters, smart economic development websites would promote their talent pools rather than their physical infrastructure–the skills and know-how of people rather than buildings, sites, utilities and transportation. They would emphasize their inventory of scarce-talent resources. Every effort would be made to track and recruit new talent into the pool. The stopper would be put into the brain-drain. The X, Y, and Z generations would become “boomerang” generations, tracked and recruited to return to the protective bubble in which they grew up, as the perfect environment in which to raise their children.

What tools and knowledge will the economic developer of this future world need? The infrastructure  will no longer only be about incentives, utility extensions, road networks, and available property. It will now include life-long learning, angle investors, venture capital and development of alternative uses of time outside work.  The role of quality of life factors, opportunities to participate in leadership positions, and a more balanced life, including a spiritual component, will take center stage. Flex time and the amount of vacation will be major negotiating points above all other benefits.

Is this “future sea change” sounding familiar?  You’re right.  The paradigm has shifted. Your cheese has been moved. Those still entrenched in the old paradigm are making every effort to hold onto it. But the tell-tale signs are becoming increasingly difficult to ignore. One such sign is the re-structuring of the economy for enormous gains in productivity while employment continues to decline, especially in manufacturing. Many economic development practitioners will wait for the “good times” to return, but they will grow weary as more factories close, lay-offs mount and the signs become increasingly harder to attribute to the “business cycle.” The rain-makers will do their dance, the gun slingers will score an occasional hit, but the futurist will realize that the cheese has, in fact, been moved and begin to explore the new paradigm. Sprout some gills: the sea change has begun.

Who’s your Charlie Biggs?

Tuesday, December 30th, 2003

By Leigh Howe

I grew up in a small town called Hope, Indiana, population 2,140.  Last week, Hope lost one of their greatest promoters and contributors, Charles T. Biggs, 63.  Charlie was an educator, publisher, school board member, musician, town historian, volunteer fireman and the list goes on. 

And Charlie had a vision for Hope. He believed that in order to survive a small town needed a school, a grocery store, a post office, and most of all a newspaper.  Charlie used his passion for his newspaper, for teaching, for music and for Hope to motivate and guide others in his community to build a better town.

Charlie was not a native of Hope but it quickly became his hometown when he moved his family there in 1966.  Charlie Biggs became the owner, publisher and editor of the The Hope-Star Journal and also put in 27 years as teacher and band director at Hauser Jr.-Sr. High School.  Charlie was also a founding member of the Hope Planning Commission, Hope Area Chamber of Commerce, and the Hawcreek-Flat Rock Area Endowment.

I remember Charlie as Mr. Biggs because he was my high school band director and music theory teacher — two classes at Hauser High School in Hope that I wouldn’t fully appreciate until years later.  While I was a mediocre flutist at best, Mr. Biggs taught me the value being part of the band as well as an appreciation for music.  The students in the band learned the importance of being involved in a group and achieving goals as a group. Mr. Biggs was demanding but also allowed us the opportunity to earn many fun activities, such as trips to Washington, D.C. and St. Louis that we paid for by selling candy, popcorn, and many other things.

So, who is your town’s Charlie Biggs?  I hope that your community is as lucky as the Town of Hope to have had such a selfless contributor.  You probably have many! While Charlie will never be replaced, hopefully he has inspired others to take up the causes of their community.  I only wish that I had written this earlier so he could have read it.  Take time to celebrate your community’s greatest promoters and contributors!  These people are in the trenches every day – the teachers, school board members, volunteer firemen, town historians, chamber board members, newspapers publishers and writers, and on and on. These people and personalities are the ones who bring your community to life.

The List of Lists

Tuesday, December 30th, 2003

By Jeff Vedders

Check out the List of Lists at www.specialissues.com/lol.  This is a free listing of various lists published by specialissues.com.  This site is useful if you are looking for a quick listing of top companies for a particular industry.  The lists are published by industry-specific trade publications.  For example, if you are looking for a ranking of the top furniture manufacturers in the U.S., you will find a link to the Top 300 Furniture Manufacturers published by FDM Magazine.  The links take you to the publication’s web site.  For some sites, registration is required.  You may also have to search through the site to find your list.  This site is by no means all-inclusive to each industry.  Search capabilities are limited, as you have to click on each major NAICS code heading and scroll through the listings that appear.  Also, a few of the links need to be updated.  Nevertheless it’s an interesting site to check out if you are looking for quick information.  Here are some examples of lists available:

Top 75 Chemical Producers (Chemical & Engineering News)

Top 100 Third Party Logistics Companies (Inbound Logistics)

Top Semiconductor Suppliers (EBN)

Regionalism: An Increasingly Popular Trend

Tuesday, December 30th, 2003

By Pete Julius

Globalization has had a positive and negative effect on economic development.  From a positive standpoint, globalization has provided access to cheaper commodities, the opportunity for perfect competition, and the ability for US-based companies to expand markets.  However, globalization has caused many Americans to lose their jobs to companies in other countries, specifically China and India.  Given the increased competitiveness within economic development, a trend called regionalism has evolved as a popular defense mechanism.  Of course, there have been more motivating factors to regionalism than just globalization. 

For instance, the budget cuts that have run rampant through many economic development organizations have encouraged regionalism.  Tighter budgets have caused many organizations to consolidate, sharing resources and energy in their marketing strategies to form a regional organization.  Below is short list consisting of some of the major benefits of regionalism:

  1. Streamlines planning
  2. Saves time, money and resources
  3. Broadens access to a wider range of workforce and educational solutions
  4. Increases cost effectiveness and efficiency
  5. Consolidates government
  6. Unifies planning and leadership

There really is no uniform way to compose a regional organization.  The organization should be based upon the needs of the area and not on the exact replication of other organizations.  Many different variables should be considered, such as purpose, goals, objectives, size and area.  What works in one region may not be ideal in another.  However, seeing how government, leadership, housing, fiscal policy and planning work for other regional organizations may give you bright ideas about how to integrate the regional approach in your own area.

Below are some sources reports that were reviewed for this article. 

Regionalism: An Economic Driver, Northern Illinois University (http://www.cgsniu.org/publications.htm#otherpub)

Competitive Regionalism: Beyond Individual Competition, Linda McCarthy

            (http://12.39.209.165/xp/EDAPublic/Research/ResearchReports.xml)

Multi-Region Economic Development Strategy Guide (www.narc.org)

Leadership and its role in Economic Development

Sunday, November 30th, 2003

By Dean Whittaker

“Leader – one who possess the ability to create and communicate a clear vision that inspires others to follow.  Leadership – communicate people’s worth and potential so clearly that they are inspired to see it in themselves.”

In the past five months I have been engaged in a Leadership Development class. In this class we have been asked to read and discuss several books. Two of the most noteworthy have been From Good to Great by James C. Collins and Jerry I. Porras, and First Break all the Rules by Marcus Buckingham and Curt Coffman.  The first book discusses the need to “get the right people on the bus,” and then describes a process of hiring for talent first and then teaching needed skills and knowledge. A manager should work with “what was left in” rather than trying to put in “what was left out.”  Both are a good read and worthy of reflection (and available as downloadable MP3 files from www.audio.com).

Another recent book that I listened to and then bought the hardcover version of is The Power of Full Engagement.  In their book, Jim Loehr and Tony Schwartz discuss how to manage our energy rather than our time. They discuss the cyclical nature of life and the need for bursts of energy followed by periods of recovery. The authors began their careers consulting with top performing athletes and later began applying their knowledge to other fields.

This past week I attended a satellite broadcast seminar titled “The Power of Executing Greatness” with presentations by Rudy Giuliani, Stephen Covey, Ken Blanchard, Marcus Buckingham, and John Maxwell.  Mayor Giuliani was outstanding as he described the prior planning process that benefited the City of New York on 9/11.  Stephen R. Covey discussed the use of the “talking stick” to heal relationships, in which the stick is passed from person to person so that they feel fully heard and acknowledged. He said that honest communications are essential.  Dr. Covey further said that leadership is a choice that requires compassion and empathy for others, as part of a love for human kind.

Industry Output & Employment Projections

Sunday, November 30th, 2003

By Jeff Vedders

Here’s a link to an interesting article from the November issue of the Monthly Labor Review which is published by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics.  The article is about U.S. industry output and employment projections to 2010.  www.bls.gov/opub/mlr/2001/11/art3exc.htm

The article can be downloaded in pdf format.

The author, Jay M. Berman, looks at industries by two- and three-digit SIC codes and shows the number of jobs in 1990, 2000, and projections to 2010.  It also displays industrial output for 1990, 2000, and projections to 2010.  As you determine which industries and companies to target, this is a useful study.  It gives you an idea of which industries have seen the most job growth and which industries are projected to have the most growth. 

Listed below are the industries expected to have the fastest employment growth and fastest employment declines through 2010.

Fastest growing

SIC code Industry 2000 Jobs* 2010 Jobs* Number Change* Percentage Change
737 Computer and data processing services 2,094.9 3,900 1,805.1 86.2
836 Residential care 805.9 1,318 512.1 63.5
807-809 Health services, nec 1,210.2 1,900 689.8 57
484 Cable and pay television services 215.8 325 109.2 50.6
736 Personnel supply services 3,887 5,800 1,913 49.2
422 Warehousing and storage 206.3 300 93.7 45.4
494-497 Water and sanitation 213.9 310.3 96.4 45.1
732, 733, 738 Miscellaneous business services 2,300.9 3,305 1,004.1 43.6
735 Miscellaneous equipment rental and leasing 279.4 397.5 118.1 42.3
874 Management and public relations 1,089.7 1,550 460.3 42.2
835 Child day care services 711.9 1,010 298.1 41.9
791, 799 Amusement and recreation services, nec 1,313.6 1,850 536.4 40.8
801-804 Offices of health practitioners 3,098.8 4,344 1,245.2 40.2
4 Veterinary services 240 335.9 95.9 40
245 Wood buildings and mobile homes 90.8 127 36.2 39.9
473, 474, 478 Miscellaneous transportation services 252.8 350 97.2 38.4
873 Research and testing services 642.3 886 243.7 37.9
78 Landscape and horticultural services 808 1,093 285 35.3
872, 89 Accounting, auditing, and other services 720 963 243 33.8
81 Legal services 1,009.6 1,350 340.4 33.7

 Fastest declining

SIC Code Industry 2000 Jobs* 2010 Jobs* Number Change* Percentage Change
387 Watches, clocks, and parts 5.3 2.5 -2.8 -52.8
313, 314 Footwear, except rubber and plastic 30.1 14.2 -15.9 -52.8
12 Coal mining 77.2 54 -23.2 -30.1
341 Metal cans and shipping containers 35.9 25.6 -10.3 -28.7
311, 315-317, 319 Luggage, handbags, and leather products, nec 41.4 30 -11.4 -27.5
40 Railroad transportation 235.5 175 -60.5 -25.7
88 Private households 890 664.4 -225.6 -25.3
231-238 Apparel 417.9 314.9 -103 -24.6
291 Petroleum refining 84.6 65 -19.6 -23.2
131, 132 Crude petroleum, natural gas, and gas liquids 129.3 100 -29.3 -22.3
386 Photographic equipment and supplies 70.2 55 -15.2 -21.7
331 Blast furnaces and basic steel products 224.5 176 -48.5 -21.6
Federal electric utilities 27 21.6 -5.4 -20
202 Dairy products 145.5 121.1 -24.4 -16.8
363 Household appliances 116.2 96.9 -19.3 -16.6
46 Pipelines, except natural gas 13.7 11.5 -2.2 -16.1
282 Plastics materials and synthetics 154.3 130 -24.3 -15.7
362 Electrical industrial apparatus 150.4 127 -23.4 -15.6
279 Service industries for the printing trade 47.2 40 -7.2 -15.3
21 Tobacco products 33.9 28.9 -5 -14.7

*Thousands of jobs

Economic Recovery?

Sunday, November 30th, 2003

By Leigh Howe

Are we seeing signs of an economic recovery?  We’ve heard quiet rumblings from the analysts that are becoming stronger.  Here’s a look at the latest economic indicators and some of the analysts’ comments.

Real GDP growth. The economy – the output of goods and services produced by labor and property located in the United States — grew at a 7.2% annual rate in the third quarter this year.  This was after growth of 3.3% in the second quarter this year.   The major contributors to the increase in real GDP in the third quarter were personal consumption expenditures (PCE), equipment and software, residential fixed investment, and exports. 

Business investment. Among the most impressive factors: Business investment grew at an 11.1% rate last quarter.  Automobile production fueled much of the recent gain in factory output, though there is doubt that that it will be sustained from the automobile sector.  Many manufacturers are still facing overcapacity issues.  A study conducted by Fleet Capital Corp shows that 74% of the companies surveyed expect the nation’s economy to expand in 2004 – with most of the growth coming from the service sector. This is the most optimistic response they have gotten in the six-year history of the study.  Manufacturers are even more optimistic than the recent past – the Institute for Supply Management monthly index of manufacturing business conditions rose to an expansionary reading of 57.0 in October, the highest reading since January 2000.

What about jobs? Growth in GDP, reduction in inventories and strong corporate profits could finally spur job growth, but the forecasts for employment and job growth are mixed. The United State Conference of Mayors released a report that supports the recent growth in the U.S. economy but with lower paying jobs. The forecast average wage of new jobs created in 2004 and 2005 is $35,885, while the average wage of jobs lost from 2001 to 2003 was 18% higher at $43,629.  The top sectors of job growth are expected to be administration and support; health care and social assistance; and accommodations and food.

2004.  While the third quarter GDP growth rate probably won’t be maintained in coming months, many economists say it is now clear the recovery is taking hold.  Most analysts are predicting growth to stabilize somewhere around 4% going forward into 2004.  

Sources: Wall Street Journal, American City Business Journals, and the Bureau of Economic Analysis.

Census

Thursday, October 30th, 2003

By Jeff Vedders

www.census.gov: Such a simple web site address for tons of information.  Although this site has enough information for several newsletter columns, I’d like to share two areas of interest, the Census 2000 data and the Economic Census.

Census 2000

The Census 2000 web site at www.census.gov/main/www/cen2000.html contains all of the information pertaining to the last U.S. census.  With it, you can obtain demographic information from the macro level (state) all the way to the micro level (street address).  Although the amount of information may appear daunting, a few quick links will allow you to get information quickly.  For example, a link on the first page to State and County QuickFacts will give you the most requested population and business statistics.  When you are ready to look for in-depth data, click on the American FactFinder to find data all the way down to the census block level.  Several preformatted searches for data sets will help you with searching, or you have the option to do custom searches.  For example, if you’re interested in commuting statistics, you can pull down Employment Status and Commuting to Work from the Basic Facts box at the top of the screen. 

Economic Census

The Economic Census is done every five years. with the last available census in 1997.  The 2002 census is currently underway, but the first report won’t be available until March 2004.  The Economic Census tracks the number of businesses, value of shipments, annual payroll, and the number of paid employees for each NAICS code.  This information is tracked at the state, county, metropolitan, and zip code levels.  The census also compares the current census to the previous census.  You can use this to see changes in the number of businesses for each NAICS code.  If you don’t know the exact NAICS code for the industry you’re tracking, you can drill down.  For example, if you click on the manufacturing category, it will take you to the corresponding 3 digit NAICS codes.  From there you will be able to choose the appropriate category to get to the 6 digit NAICS code.

PlanetLab: A New Internet

Thursday, October 30th, 2003

By Leigh Howe

Plateau.   Has the Internet hit a plateau in terms of its functionality?  There is no doubt the Internet has transformed the way we communicate, shop, find information and do business.  Today more than 600 million people use the Internet to email, search, chat, buy books, and download music, among other things.  In 2003, it is estimated that $3.9 trillion in business transactions will take place over the Internet.  However, the Internet is built on infrastructure that is decades old.  Soon, technologies will enable mobile computing, instant virus protection, storing huge amounts of data, and immediate content delivery. Can the Internet as we know it support such new developments?

PlanetLab.  To prepare for these additional burdens on the Internet, companies such as Intel and Hewlett Packard, in cooperation with universities across the country, including MIT, Stanford, and UC Berkeley, have been working on a support project called PlanetLab.  This project sits on top of the Internet and promises to make it more robust, spam free, and virus free, while building faster and smarter surfing capabilities.  Currently, PlanetLab pools the resources of about 160 networked computers in 16 countries, with plans to increase that number to 1,000 machines.  The intention is to extend the infrastructure of the Internet, lower the barrier of entry to development on the Internet, and deploy a new class of services.   Right now, PlanetLab is a testbed for many new technologies and applications that can be tried out globally without affecting the Internet that we depend on.

Projects.  Some of the live projects in the PlanetLab pipeline could be killer applications in the future commercial arena.  Here are a couple of examples:

  •  NetBait, led by Intel, models the spread of worms and viruses while testing out mechanisms of defense.
  • CoDeeN, led by Princeton University, protects web servers from overload by intercepting a sudden spike in traffic and rerouting it to a backup server.

Sources and More Information.     

  •  www.technologyreview.com – MIT Technology Review Magazine
  • www.planet-lab.org/php/overview.php – PlanetLab website

IAMC

Thursday, October 30th, 2003

By Kate Baxter

For those of you who have not heard of it, IAMC (Industrial Asset Management Council) has been formed in the wake of Corenet getting just too big.  On September 7-10 I attended my third IAMC conference.  This was only the third conference for this organization, and each one gets better.  We have been following IAMC from its inception in our search for educational, networked organizations in which our clients participate.

As you may know, Corenet has become home to high cost suites, with organizations spending big bucks to get attendees to visit their event.  Often, the crowd centers at the booth with the most free giveaways. Corenet is an example of a great place to network, if you are a machine.  With attendance in the thousands, it is hard to bump into the same person twice. So creating a relationship, or even just being remembered, can be a feat.

IAMC is set up quite differently, and has created a few interesting rules to avoid becoming another Corenet.  The number of corporate members to service providers is capped.  Networking functions are set up at IAMC so everyone is at the same function, not segregated in little groups.  All three conferences provided wonderful opportunities to meet people, get to know them and their organizations, and then bump into them again the next day.  Dinner is still up to each individual, but there are gatherings set up before and after that everyone can attend.  Each day, lunch is provided, so you don’t have people coming and going at different times. Everyone is at IAMC to network, friendly and ready to meet new people, so there is not the “seat saving” I have noted at other conferences.

Recreating the Beast?  The IAMC board likely feels some pressure not to recreate the beast, a.k.a. Corenet.  The feedback I have heard so far about IAMC is that the numbers need to remain capped.  If there is a waiting list, so be it–half the appeal is that the ratio will be favorable for all. If that goes, so may many members. 

The bottom line is that you can actually meet and talk to more people at IAMC, you don’t have to pay big bucks to do it, and pretty much everyone you meet is willing to talk.  IAMC has the market right now on a conference that is entertaining, educational, and still perfect for business.